The Great Depression: Problem, Reaction, Solution

While it is common to blame the Great Depression on greedy capitalists, the unpredictability of the free market, the gold standard and even consumers, none of these explanations hold up to empirical analysis, nor to basic economic science. The connection that binds these naysayers is threefold: statism, ignorance of economic theory or practice, and a general lean towards socialism. Whether it was the early national socialism of progressives like Richard T. Ely, the intellectually dishonest theory of John Maynard Keynes or the plethora or screeching Marxists during the late nineteenth century through the mid twentieth century, all of these ideals can be seen as creating and prolonging the Great Depression, as opposed to the contemporary rantings of these individuals and their theories as economic messiah’s that saved us from ourselves.

The Great Depression did not begin with 1929 stock market crash, but much earlier. Most classical economists point to various indicators of the Roaring 20’s as the catalyst for the Great Depression. Indeed, the four phases of causality offered by Friedman that begin with the massive economic boom of the 1920s, which he empirically shows was created by easy money and credit expansion via the Federal Reserve System. The massive printing of money, without hard asset support, in tandem with exquisitely low interest rates between 1924 and 1929, not only created an unsustainable economic bubble, but positioned the federal government and financiers towards enormous property grabs, further control over the means of production and leverage over the debt finance participants. In fact, the Reserve banks in less than a year, during 1924 “created” over $500 million in new credit, leading to a bank credit expansion of over $4 billion, which would become insolvent by 1929 and beyond. President Hoover had laid the groundwork for this statist economic model of expenditures, inflation and centralization.[1] FDR would follow it with his “New Deal” with a final blow to the free market through the Wagner Act.[2] The glaring question then becomes, how were these statist progressives, finance capitalists and crony capitalists able to create such swift and enduring policies and entities to obstruct and pervert America’s free market economy? Looking to the preceding movements by earlier progressive economists reveals the answer.

Richard T. Ely, the founder of progressivism and the conductor of the socialist symphony of the late nineteenth and early twentieth century would build the foundation upon which later comrades would be able to expand upon. Between 1880 and 1900, Ely and his merry band of political economists came to dominate the universities, foundations and government and one of Ely’s former students would make his way to the White House, Woodrow Wilson. The goals of these progressive economists of the early Progressive Era economists were nothing less than a form of national socialism. As Ely puts it, progressives are altogether dissatisfied with the condition of society and share a common ground as political and economic reformers of bringing about socialist changes through a steady and prolonged radicalism.[3] In Ely’s view the political economy conjured up by Marx and Engel was a natural evolution from the free market of capitalism to one of state control through progressive experts. In a desire to correct the supposed failings of free market capitalism, Ely ventured to perfect these inadequacies through state administration and trained experts through a purportedly new form of collectivization. His denotation of classical liberalism and free market capitalism as the “old way” and the progressive statism as the “new way” of political economy is revealing.[4] Woodrow Wilson and Herbert Hoover institutionalized Ely’s ideals, at a national level, bringing together finance capitalists, Big Business and government management of the economy, and the stage was set for the Great Depression, which inevitably transferred the money supply to the Federal Reserve, consolidated political power and created a state directed economy that would be furthered by FDR and the New Deal. Ely and his national socialists would pave the way for the Keynesian movement. While Ely blamed capitalism in general for the supposed woes of the world, John Maynard Keynes would go further and blame the individual consumer, and both believed only the government could save us from ourselves.

John Maynard Keynes and his “general theory” of economics became the dominant economic model most of the mid to late twentieth century. Much like Ely, Keynes was no friend of free market capitalism. According to Keynes the Great Depression was caused by the “animal spirits” of capitalists who refused to invest or spend, triggered the consumer pessimism that led to a lack of consumer consumption. Of course, according to the wisdom of Keynes, much like Ely, the only solution to this was government spending to offset the lack consumer consumption and private investment. He believed the best way forward was not necessarily more taxation, but monetary policy or in other words control of the money supply. This was accomplished through the Federal Reserve during the 1920’s money printing extravaganza and cheap credit, which simply inflated the money, drove prices artificially high and leveraged debt, that eventually brought the economy to its knees, allowing the federal government and financiers to move into the spotlight as the only means of salvation for the nation. This academic and economic myth, that capitalism was the cause of the Great Depression and only through government intervention was economic recovery found, continues today, without recourse nor justification.[5] Milton Friedman points out that this was not only a created crisis, but that the Federal Reserve first pumped liquidity into the money supply, but then stood down refusing carry out its assigned role of providing liquidity through cheap loans between 1929 and 1933, in essence watching the ship sink.[6] As early as 1934 this catastrophe was labeled as a “deliberate co-operation between Central bankers, deliberate ‘reflation’ on the part of the Federal Reserve authorities, which produced the worst phase of this stupendous fluctuation…which was responsible for the excesses of the American disaster.”[7]

[1] Murray N. Rothbard, America’s Great Depression, Auburn: Mises Institute, 1963: 285-336.

[2] Foundation for Economic Education, What Caused the Great Depression?, February 02, 2018,  https://fee.org/articles/what-caused-the-great-depression/ (accessed July 29, 2021).

[3] Richard T. Ely, French and German Socialism in Modern Times, New York: Harper &

Brothers, 1883: 1-2.

[4] Richard T. Ely, “The Past and Present of Political Economy,” Edited by Herbert B. Adams, John Hopkins University Studies in Historical and Political Science (John Hopkins University) II, no. 3 (1884): 64.

[5] Lawrence Reed, Great Myths of the Great Depression, Mackinac Center for Public Policy, 2016: 1. https://fee.org/resources/great-myths-of-the-great-depression/.

[6] Ivan Pongracic Jr., “The Great Depression According to Milton Friedman,” Foundation for Economic Freedom, (September 1, 2007), https://fee.org/articles/the-great-depression-according-to-milton-friedman/.

[7] Lionel Robbins, The Great Depression, Freeport. New York: Books for Libraries Press, 1934, 54. https://cdn.mises.org/The%20Great%20Depression_2.pdf.

“Progressives are altogether dissatisfied with the condition of society and share a common ground as political and economic reformers of bringing about socialist changes through a steady and prolonged radicalism.” – Richard T. Ely

“Banks have done more injury to the religion, morality, tranquility, prosperity, and even wealth of the nation than they can have done or ever will do good.”      – John Adams

“By a continuing process of inflation, government can confiscate, secretly and unobserved, an important part of the wealth of their citizens.”

– John Maynard Keynes

“There is one good thing about Marx: he was not a Keynesian.”                     – Murray Rothbard

 

Experts, Economics and Errors

Postbellum America could be described as the rise of Progressivism, which was a political economic modality very similar to national socialism. Richard T. Ely was the driving force behind the rise and success of the political economy of progressivism. The academic shift in postbellum America is staggering. This academic shift influenced the political shift in economic thinking, which drove the popular or societal shift in economic ideology. This ideological and academic shift between 1865 and 1900 imbedded a once foreign ideology, the state directed economy, into the American psyche, government and institutions.

By 1900 Ely and his cohorts had solidified themselves as the prophets of the “new economy.” Reigning from Wisconsin, with tentacles into every major university including Stanford, Yale, Brown and Johns Hopkins, Ely and his students had brought the ideals of the state directed political economy to the forefront of American life. With progressives at the helm of government, Ely and his views would be implemented into public education, the Treasury Department, the Federal Trade Commission and Ely himself had a direct channel to President Theodore Roosevelt, who held Ely in high esteem. Other adherents to Ely’s theories and mission included his former students Woodrow Wilson and Frederic C. Howe, Supreme Court Justice Oliver Wendell Holmes, Jr.

Though successful as a theorist and organizer, for an economist, Ely rarely saw profits from his personal business ventures.  While having one of the most successful and lucrative publishing deals for his economic textbooks being used in public education across the nation by 1920, Ely struggled with debt, attempted a real estate venture and various personal investments that in his lifetime never amounted to more than $50,000. Eventually, Ely resorted to selling his labor library collection of writings to John Crerar Library in Chicago for a net price of $12,500.  Indeed, nearly all of Ely’s capital for his projects came from wealthy friends and small investors. However, the influence of these projects is staggering as Ely would create and direct organizations that would quite literally change public opinion, guide the state and federal government on economic policy and become the standard of academic offerings on economics. Among these projects were Ely’s, American Economic Association, the precursor to the American Association of University Professors, the National Civic Foundation, the American Bureau of Industrial Research and the American Association for Labor Legislation, nearly all formed between 1900 and 1920.

Richard T. Ely, while not terribly successful in obtaining profits from the free market, of which he disdained, Ely was enormously profitable from donations by wealthy idealogues, and government sponsored projects and positions. In Wisconsin, with progressives in charge of the state and the federal government, Wisconsin University saw a jump in income from around $600,000 in 1903 to over three million by the end of 1914. Ely would cash in on this monetarily and academically, as he convinced the university president to give him a $4,000 salary with one paid semester of each academic year for research, which gave him the best economic professorship in the nation. By 1911, Ely’s department at Wisconsin had six full time professors, which was the most in the country. Ely’s textbook Outlines, now being used in high schools and universities in over 250 locations by the 1920s, had by 1937 sold nearly a million copies, second only in economic works to Adam Smith’s, Wealth of Nations. The royalties from his textbook, which was compulsory, netted Ely an average of $7,000 per year.

The reach and influence of Richard T. Ely is nearly unfathomable between 1900 and 1920. By 1911, Ely in tandem with the Wisconsin State Governor Francis McGovern had created a nationalistic socialist state that shaped and influenced federal decisions and policies, through their web of supposed experts, with forty-six members serving both the state and the university. Wisconsin, with the help of Ely’s students John Commons and Thomas S. Adams, drafted the first progressive income tax in U.S. history, which became the template for the federal income tax law of 1913. Ely would also spearhead his progressive socialism, with a nationalism he learned during his formative years studying in Germany. Embracing and helping to implement events such as restrictions on Japanese immigration, which would be a precursor to the progressive internment camps later, Ely was unabashedly imperial and nationalistic. Ely supported the United States annexation of the Philippines and encouraged compulsory military service, disavowed Wilson’s League of Nations, and in 1914 stated that any professor that spoke against America’s involvement in World War I, should be “fired, if not shot.”

Richard T. Ely, considered the founder of progressivism, was not only highly successful in bringing his version of national socialism to American shores, but pivotal in creating the necessary structure and establishment to convert America into a welfare state. This state directed economy, from which Ely profited greatly, would be the foundation upon which The New Deal, Keynesianism, The Great Society, Universal Health Care and a multiplicity of other socialistic programs, laws and academics would build on. While it is common for contemporary progressives to deny that they support imperialism, national socialism and autocracy, the founder of progressivism, Richard T. Ely and the entire history of progressivism, throughout the twentieth century shows that these anti-free market and authoritarian ideals are the very legs upon which they stand.

Sources

 

A studio portrait of Richard T. Ely.

“All the plans of reformers, described in this work, were meant to be executed and to inaugurate a new era in the development of humanity.”

Book page image

Richard T. Ely House in Madison, WI.

 

 

Postbellum America would become a new nation and in short order become the predominant global economy. Just as the fight over constitutionalism, slavery and expansion began to brew in the early to mid-nineteenth century, a tandem event took place, namely the American industrial revolution. Economically speaking, few if any commodities defined American exports, production or manufacturing like cotton. After manufacturing pioneer Eli Whitney created and patented the cotton gin, which was a machine that removed seeds from cotton fiber, the American economy uniquely positioned to capitalize on the industry, exploded onto the world scene.

Normally, in the continuum of classical economics, this should have created not only an enormous export economy towards textiles, but a springboard of economic wealth distribution for the young nation. This would not be the case upon the latter, as slavery was the primary driver in the farming of cotton in the United States, at the time, which would enrich a handful of planters in the South and elite manufacturers in the North and impoverish thousands of yeoman farming families in the process. In turn this created a working underclass in the North and a vast subsistence farming class in the South.

As tensions and tempers flared, a civil war drew nigh and in 1860 many Southern states would succeed from the Union, which spawned a bloody and grueling war between countrymen, women and children. The end of legal slavery would be the outcome of the war, with a South that was razed to the ground and forced to comply with the outcome. In this sense, especially with the outlawing of free labor and chattel slavery, combined with massive crop destruction, it would seem logical that the American cotton industry would fade away with the Confederacy. This did not happen; indeed, the inverse took place, and the cotton industry was about to not only remain a primary powerhouse for the American economy, but would soar to new heights, with slavery and free labor in the rearview.

The numbers do not lie, as classical economists were quickly proven correct that slavery was not only immoral, but an economic failure. After 1865 cotton was produced through wage labor by sharecroppers, small farmers and plantation owners, both black and white. By 1870 the South had produced more cotton in 1860 and by 1880 cotton exports were higher than in 1860. Cotton production in the state of Georgia alone increased by over 47% between 1860 and 1880, which is a strong indicator as to the economic faltering of the institution of slavery. More Southern farmers switched to cotton production after emancipation, displacing food production of crops such as grain and corn, which shifted to the mid-Western states. Specialization now relied upon ingenuity, technology and sound investing, rather than family states and slave labor. This again revealed the power of free enterprise, as cotton production and sales soared during and after Reconstruction.

Another sector of the country would now take its seat at the table, as the West was now more than “free soil” territories, but now becoming Unionized states without slavery all together. The same railroads that revolutionized the nation North to South, connected the Pacific Coast to the Atlantic Coast, which was a further boost for the cotton industry after about 1870 onward. Regardless of pests, storms, speculation or political and social fights, cotton continued to be a leading economic driver for the United States. Harper’s Weekly reports in an 1878 financial outlook that “the Agricultural Bureau and on the New York and New Orleans exchanges the cotton crop is estimated to as being more likely to exceed than to fall short of four million bales.” King Cotton was no longer a euphemistic tool of the Confederate South, but a legitimate quasi free enterprise that would quite literally pull the country out of ruin and debt, holding the foreground in exports and profits making the United States the global leader in cotton until 1937.

As the nation expanded Westward, cotton came along. The hot and dry climate, matched with the harder soil should have left King Cotton East of the Mississippi River, yet ingenuity, a little luck combined with massive irrigation and federal subsidies, cotton would soar even higher in price, exports and wealth creation. By 1920 cotton became an enormous agribusiness in the West, with ex-Georgians like J.G. Boswell at the helm in the Central Valley of California. In 1960 the Boswell family became the largest single farmer in the nation owning millions of acres, almost solely producing cotton, in an arid semi-desert region, incurring some of the largest irrigation projects ever recorded.

Cotton production and manufacturing were with Americans in the early days and turned large profits, yet this came at the hands of enslaved humans and did not enrich the nation collectively, nor did it enhance the soul of a proclaimed constitutional republic. Every step of the way, the voices of the abolitionists and the classical economists could be heard denouncing the institution of slavery in America but were not immediately heeded. Once slavery was ended, the American economy rocketed almost overnight, growing exponentially for over a century, and cotton played a significant role in total economic growth and gross domestic product. Unfortunately, finance capitalism would become instituted in the twentieth century incurring inflation, market crashes and unfathomable indebtedness and if one listens closely, you can still hear the abolitionists and classical economists pleading with the nation.     

Sources

  1. Arax, Mark. The King of California: J.G. Boswell and the Making of a Secret American Empire. New York: Public Affairs, 2003.
  2. Dattel, Eugene R. “Cotton and the Civil War.” Mississippi History Now. July 2008. http://mshistorynow.mdah.state.ms.us/articles/291/cotton-and-the-civil-war (accessed July 6, 2021).
  3. Harper’s Weekly. “Harp Week: Explore History.” Agricultural machinery and equipment. December 18, 1869. https://app-harpweek-com.ezproxy.liberty.edu/ViewIndexEntryLightbox.asp?SubEntryClass=Illustration&SubEntryKey=032622&MainEntryKey=000336 (accessed July 6, 2021).
  4. Harper’s Weekly. “Harp Week: Explore History.” American South, business and economy. September 27, 1878. https://app-harpweek-com.ezproxy.liberty.edu/ViewIndexEntryImage.asp?subEntryClass=Combined&subEntryKey=685628&page=1&imageSize=d (accessed July 6, 2021).
  5. Weiman, David F. “The Economic Emancipation of the Non-Slaveholding Class: Upcountry Farmers in the Georgia Cotton Economy.” The Journal of Economic History 1, no. 45 (1985): 71-93.

 

 

 

 

Archibald Alexander

Archibald Alexander lived from 1771 until 1851 and was born in Rockbridge County, Virginia. His local importance to Central Virginia cannot be overstated. Alexander attended Liberty HallArchibaldAlexander.jpgAcademy from the age of ten until he completed secondary schooling. Becoming an ordained Presbyterian minister in 1791, he would serve the community for another seven years before traveling abroad to England and New York in 1801. This would lead to pastorship in Philadelphia in 1807 and a DD degree conferred upon the Virginian in 1810. During his life in Virginia Alexander enjoyed camaraderie with the like of Samuel Davies and Patrick Henry. (1) (2)

Princeton Seminary

Archibald Alexander would take his zeal and Virginian charm with him to the Northeast into New Jersey. 

1812 he would be chosen as the first and lead professor at the Princeton Theological Seminary, where he would reside, minister and teach for nearly forty years until his death in 1851. Considered by scholars and theologians as pivotal in the Great Revival, a mentor to Charles Hodge who became his successor at Princeton Theological Seminary, both of which are iconoclasts in the Presbyterian church. Academic and theological writings appear from Alexander consistently from 1829 to 1850 in the Princeton Review , though he did not publish his first work until the age of 52. From 1823 forward, Alexander would publish many pieces including Outlines of the Evidences of Christianity (1823) and Thoughts on Religious Experience (1844). More recently lecture notes of Archibald Alexander, written by Charles Hodge have been discovered at Princeton, printed, digitized and transcribed by Presbyterian scholars and theologians. (1) (2) (3) 

Liberty Hall and Bedford County, VA.

Liberty Hall is located in New London, Virginia and is an unincorporated town of Bedford County. New London’s history includes property owned by Thomas Jefferson, playing a key role in the American Revolution, home to a court where Patrick Henry argued multiple cases and was the original county seat. Liberty Hall built as a brick utility residenceLiberty Hall (Forest, Virginia) - Wikipedia by Dr. John Thomas Wyatt Read in 1815, less than a quarter mile from New London Academy attended by Archibald Alexander, and eventually became Liberty Hall Academy. The original structure would incur a visit from the Union General David Hunter on his travel down the Salem Turnpike en route to Lynchburg during the Civil War. Alongside Hunter were his staff officers of later fame, Rutherford B. Hayes, William McKinley and James A. Garfield, all three would become U.S. Presidents. (1) (4) (5)    

 

Sources

  1. Banner of Truth: Archibald A. Alexander. 2021. https://banneroftruth.org/us/about/banner-authors/archibald-a-alexander/ (accessed July 2, 2021).
  2. Alexander, James Waddell. The life of Archibald Alexander, D.D., first professor in the Theological seminary, at Princeton, New Jersey. New York: C. Scribner, 1854.
  3. Reformed Forum. “Archibald Alexander and Princeton Seminary.” com. August 22, 2019. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AE0j_6UQC9I (accessed July 2, 2021).
  4. Virginia Department of Historic Resources. Liberty Hall. May 21, 2020. https://www.dhr.virginia.gov/historic-registers/009-0013/ (accessed July 2, 2021).
  5. New London Museum. New London Chronology. https://newlondonmuseum.org/ (accessed July 2, 2021).